Project Leader: Bobby Woelz Project Dates: Jan 10 - May 13, 2011 Email address: RWoelz@thesca.org Phone: 208.608.6324
Mother Nature Fights Back! (4/22/11)
Air raid sirens pushed us down into the basement last night due to a tornado in the area… only to discover our basement was slowly filling with water...
SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
733 PM CDT FRI APR 22 2011
...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM CDT FOR SOUTH CENTRAL SHANNON AND NORTH CENTRAL OREGON COUNTIES...
AT 730 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO INDICATE A TORNADO 6 MILES EAST OF WINONA...OR 27 MILES EAST OF MOUNTAIN VIEW...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH.
LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE WINONA.
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HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
540 PM CDT FRI APR 22 2011
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS.
.DAY ONE...THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT.
THE HAZARDOUS WEATHER RISK LEVEL IS...SIGNIFICANT.
WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED...
THE HAIL RISK IS SIGNIFICANT.
THE FLOODING RISK IS SIGNIFICANT.
THE TORNADO RISK IS ELEVATED.
THE THUNDERSTORM WIND RISK IS ELEVATED.
THE LIGHTNING RISK IS SIGNIFICANT.
DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT HAS PUSHED INTO FAR SOUTHWESTERN MISSOURI TO THE NORTHEAST INTO CENTRAL MISSOURI EARLY THIS EVENING. AHEAD OF THE FRONT A WARM AND MOIST AIR MASS IS IN PLACE WITH STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS REMAINING POSSIBLE ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT THIS EVENING.
SUPERCELL THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE EARLY THIS EVENING AS THEY CONTINUE ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE FRONT IN COUNTIES ALONG AND SOUTHEAST OF A LINE FROM SENECA TO ELDON MISSOURI. THE STORMS WILL THEN LIKELY FORM INTO A LINE OR BROKEN LINE BY MID EVENING AS THEY MOVE THROUGH THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN MISSOURI OZARKS. VERY LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...AND TORNADOES WILL ALL BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.
THUNDERSTORMS WILL GRADUALLY WEAKEN OR PUSH SOUTH AND EAST OF THE REGION LATE THIS EVENING WITH A DIMINISHING SEVERE STORM RISK. HOWEVER...AS THE FRONT STALLS THERE WILL BE THE THREAT OF LINGERING HEAVY RAIN OVER FAR SOUTHERN MISSOURI IN COUNTIES CLOSE TO THE ARKANSAS STATE LINE.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.
OUR WEATHER PATTERN WILL REMAIN VERY ACTIVE THROUGH THE UPCOMING WEEKEND AND INTO NEXT WEEK AS A SURFACE FRONT BECOMES NEARLY STATIONARY ACROSS THE OZARKS REGION. SEVERAL ROUNDS OF THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED. WIDESPREAD RAINFALL OF FOUR TO SIX INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS IS EXPECTED. THIS WILL RESULT IN A HIGH RISK FOR FLASH FLOODING AND RIVER FLOODING ACROSS THE OUTLOOK AREA.
ADDITIONAL CHANCES FOR PERIODS OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL OCCUR MONDAY AND TUESDAY WITH A RISK FOR HEAVY RAINFALL AND POTENTIALLY SOME SEVERE WEATHER.
LOCAL INTERESTS ARE URGED TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS FROM YOUR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE REGARDING THE POTENTIAL FOR EXCESSIVE RAINFALL AND RESULTANT RISK OF FLOODING.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED THIS EVENING FOR AREAS ALONG AND SOUTHEAST OF A SENECA TO ELDON MISSOURI LINE.
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FLASH FLOOD WARNING
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
434 PM CDT SAT APR 23 2011
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SPRINGFIELD HAS ISSUED A
* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
DENT COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL MISSOURI...
DOUGLAS COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST MISSOURI...
EASTERN WEBSTER COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST MISSOURI...
NORTHERN HOWELL COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL MISSOURI...
SHANNON COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL MISSOURI...
SOUTHEASTERN LACLEDE COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST MISSOURI...
SOUTHERN PHELPS COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL MISSOURI...
SOUTHERN PULASKI COUNTY IN CENTRAL MISSOURI...
TEXAS COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL MISSOURI...
WRIGHT COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST MISSOURI...
* UNTIL 1100 PM CDT.
* AT 426 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THAT EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WAS PRODUCING FLASH FLOODING ACROSS THE WARNED AREA.
* RUNOFF FROM THIS EXCESSIVE RAINFALL IS CAUSING FLASH FLOODING. CREEKS...STREAMS AND LOW WATER CROSSINGS WILL BE ESPECIALLY SUSCEPTIBLE TO THE DANGERS OF FLASH FLOODING.
THIS WARNING INCLUDES BUT IS NOT LIMITED TO THE FOLLOWING LOW WATER CROSSINGS...
ROUTE KK AT GLADDEN CREEK JUST NORTH OF AKERS...
ROUTE E NORTH OF HIGHWAY 38 AT THE GASCONADE RIVER...
ROUTE FF AT HUNTER CREEK EAST OF AVA...
ROUTE FF AT TURKEY CREEK EAST OF AVA...
ROUTE Y AT COWSKIN CREEK 3 MILES WEST OF AVA...
ROUTE H AT ROCKY CREEK 6 MILES NORTHEAST OF WINONA...
ROUTE H AT THOMAS HOLLOW 8 MILES NORTHEAST OF WINONA...
ROUTE J AT PARKS CREEK 2 MILES EAST OF MORGAN...
ROUTE Y...4 MILES NORTHWEST OF MOUNTAIN VIEW...
ROUTE M AT PARKS CREEK NEAR GROVESPRING.
FLOODING CONTINUES TO OCCUR FROM HEAVY RAIN THAT FELL ON FRIDAY EVENING. ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL FROM TODAYS THUNDERSTORMS WILL RESULT IN RENEWED RAPID RISES IN FLOODED AREAS...ESPECIALLY LOW WATER CROSSINGS.
THIS FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS IN ADDITION TO THE AREAL FLOOD WARNING THAT IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SAME AREA. THIS FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS BEING ISSUED DUE TO ADDITIONAL RAPID RISES ON CREEKS...STREAMS...AND LOW WATER CROSSINGS OVER THE WARNED AREA...INCLUDING AREAS THAT MAY ALREADY BE FLOODED.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A FLASH FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. RESIDENTS LIVING ALONG STREAMS AND CREEKS SHOULD TAKE IMMEDIATE PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS SWIFTLY FLOWING WATERS OR WATERS OF UNKNOWN DEPTH BY FOOT OR BY AUTOMOBILE.
BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE DANGERS OF FLOODING. IF FLASH FLOODING IS OBSERVED ACT QUICKLY. DO NOT ENTER THE WATER. TURN AROUND AND MOVE UP TO HIGHER GROUND TO ESCAPE FLOOD WATERS. DO NOT STAY IN AREAS SUBJECT TO FLOODING WHEN WATER BEGINS RISING.
IN HILLY TERRAIN THERE ARE HUNDREDS OF LOW WATER CROSSINGS WHICH ARE POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS IN HEAVY RAIN. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO TRAVEL ACROSS FLOODED ROADS. FIND ALTERNATE ROUTES. IT ONLY TAKES A FEW INCHES OF SWIFTLY FLOWING WATER TO CARRY VEHICLES AWAY.
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SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
739 PM CDT FRI APR 22 2011
...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM CDT FOR SOUTHERN SHANNON COUNTY...
AT 735 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM 4 MILES SOUTHEAST OF EMINENCE...OR 23 MILES EAST OF MOUNTAIN VIEW...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH. THIS STORM IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.
LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE ALLEY SPRING...BIRCH TREE...EMINENCE... MONTIER...TERESITA...WEST EMINENCE AND WINONA.
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SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
739 PM CDT FRI APR 22 2011
...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM CDT FOR SOUTHERN SHANNON COUNTY...
AT 735 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM 4 MILES SOUTHEAST OF EMINENCE...OR 23 MILES EAST OF MOUNTAIN VIEW...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH. THIS STORM IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.
LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE ALLEY SPRING...BIRCH TREE...EMINENCE... MONTIER...TERESITA...WEST EMINENCE AND WINONA.
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SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
706 PM CDT FRI APR 22 2011
.NOW...
THROUGH 9 PM...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DEVELOPED ALONG AND AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT SOUTHEAST OF A JOPLIN TO HERMITAGE TO VIENNA MISSOURI LINE THIS EVENING. THESE STORMS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE TO THE NORTHEAST AT 30 TO 40 MPH AS THE COLD FRONT CONTINUES TO PUSH TO THE EAST SOUTHEAST THIS EVENING. THESE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING STRAIGHT LINES WINDS...VERY LARGE HAIL...BRIEF HEAVY RAINFALL...AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING STRIKES. ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE AS A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM THIS EVENING FOR SOUTHWEST AND CENTRAL MISSOURI.
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WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION FOR WATCH 179
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
554 PM CDT FRI APR 22 2011
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS EXTENDED TORNADO WATCH 179 TO INCLUDE THE FOLLOWING AREAS UNTIL 10 PM CDT THIS EVENING
IN MISSOURI THIS WATCH INCLUDES 3 COUNTIES IN SOUTH CENTRAL MISSOURI; HOWELL, OREGON, SHANNON
THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...ALTON...EMINENCE...THAYER... WEST PLAINS...WILLOW SPRINGS AND WINONA.
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FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
334 PM CDT FRI APR 22 2011
...EXCESSIVE RAINFALL EXPECTED OVER THE MISSOURI OZARKS THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK...
.THE WEATHER PATTERN WILL REMAIN FAVORABLE THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK FOR SEVERAL ROUNDS OF HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS THE MISSOURI OZARKS AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS.
WIDESPREAD STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE FORECAST TO RANGE FROM THREE TO SEVEN INCHES THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. SEVERAL ROUNDS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL OCCUR INTERMITTENTLY THROUGH THE WEEKEND POTENTIALLY SETTING THE STAGE FOR A DANGEROUS EPISODE OF FLASH FLOODING AND RIVER FLOODING.
THIS ACTIVE WEATHER WILL OCCUR IN RESPONSE TO A FRONTAL SYSTEM THAT IS EXPECTED TO MEANDER ACROSS SOUTHERN MISSOURI OVER THE NEXT FIVE DAYS. THIS FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL INTERACT WITH HIGH AMOUNTS OF GULF MOISTURE TO PRODUCE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON...
THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES * THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON
* THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IS FORECASTING STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF THREE TO SEVEN INCHES THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. SEVERAL ROUNDS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT THE REGION ON AN INTERMITTENT BASIS THROUGH THE EASTER WEEKEND.
* THIS EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OVER THE OZARK TERRAIN WILL POTENTIALLY LEAD TO DANGEROUS FLASH FLOODING. SMALL STREAMS AND LOW WATER CROSSINGS WILL BE PARTICULARLY SUSCEPTIBLE TO FLASH FLOODING.
THOSE WITH RECREATIONAL PLANS NEAR AREA RIVERS SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR RIVER LEVELS AND BE PREPARED TO MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. DO NOT CROSS LOW WATER CROSSINGS THAT ARE FLOODED. TURN AROUND... DONT DROWN.
YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.
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FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
227 PM CDT FRI APR 22 2011
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN MISSOURI...
BIG PINEY RIVER AT FORT LEONARD WOOD AFFECTING PULASKI COUNTY.
THE JACKS FORK RIVER AT ALLEY SPRING AFFECTING SHANNON COUNTY.
HEAVY RAINFALL LAST NIGHT HAS CAUSED RIVER LEVELS TO RISE.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOWING WATER. NEARLY HALF OF ALL FLOOD FATALITIES ARE VEHICLE RELATED. AS LITTLE AS 6 INCHES OF WATER MAY CAUSE YOU TO LOSE CONTROL OF YOUR VEHICLE. TWO FEET OF WATER WILL CARRY MOST VEHICLES AWAY.
STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR LATER STATEMENTS.
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE JACKS FORK AT ALLEY SPRING.
* AT 1:30 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.6 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE TO NEAR FLOOD STAGE THIS EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 9.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE. WATER IMPACTS ALLEY SPRING CAMPGROUND.
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Forcast Provided by The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration
